Never enough, Astounding Compounding, Wealthy,
Never enough
Enough, only six-letter words but have a very powerful
effect. If one knows the criticality of the word enough, he/she would always
stay satisfied with their life's decision in terms of financial as well as a
life decision. In our society, many people including the wealthiest one seem to
be less learned about what enough can bring to.
If the person is on the edge of survival and poverty makes
them feel uttermost pain, they do fraud is understandable. It makes sense. But
someone worth millions of dollars would risk their everything in pursuit of
even more because they had no sense of enough.
Greed and ego consume them whole.
Warren Buffet said, "There is no reason to risk what
you have and need for what you don't have and don't need."
To have a sense of what enough can give rise to, you should
remember few things:
1. The hardest financial skill is getting the
goalpost to stop moving.
2.
Social comparison is the problem.
3.
“Enough” is not too little.
4.
There are many things never worth risking, no
matter the potential gain.
Reputation, freedom, happiness, family, and friends, being
loved by those who you want to love are invaluable. And it’s not worth taking
risks for anything that might harm them.
Astounding compounding
The majority of us know what compounding means but rarely of
us know what astounding compounding can give rise to, as we've all only
experienced a tiny sliver of it. Well, you know about ice ages and how they
formed? According to Wladimir Köppen, moderately cool summer was the reason for
ice ages. Moderately cool summer meaning when summer begins it never gets warm
enough to melt previously accumulated snow therefore previously leftover ice
base makes it easier for snow to accumulate the following, hence you see the
snow around in summer also, which attracts even more accumulation for the
following winter. And this cycle continues. Within a few hundred years there
would be numerous sheets of ice because of this cycle and the human race would
have been completely wiped off. An amazing thing is here is how one small
change in climate could bring a humongous change in the future.
Here, the biggest takeaway is you don't need tremendous force to
get tremendous results. If something is compounding, just let it grow and one
day it would be logic-defying that you underestimate what is possible and where
it can lead to. The same thing is with the money. Invest in the right sector
and let it grow. 110% it would give you tremendous results.
To see the power of compounding, one must have the key
ingredient i.e., time. You just need to shut up and wait. Good investing and
waiting for it to see its magic doesn't mean earning big returns that tend to
be one-off hits, it is all about getting returns for the longest period. And
that’s when the compounding runs wild.
Getting wealthy vs staying wealthy
Living in the 21st century where you see folks
earning a shitload of money and losing it in just the blink of an eye, staying wealthy
is a blessing in disguise.
Because people are so secretly envious of the people who
they think have the luxury of this and that, they started comparing them with
others, try to risk their everything in pursuit of more and more, they lose
money. For staying wealthy, one needs to learn how to survive, it requires paranoia
that what you have earned can be taken away from you just as fast.
Michael Moritz, the billionaire head of Sequoia Capital in
one of his interviews was asked that how sequoia capital has survived their
business for four decades. He replied "I think we've always been afraid of
going out of business" also "There's a lot of truth to that … We
assume that tomorrow won't be like yesterday. We can't afford to rest on our
laurels. We can't be complacent. We can't assume that yesterday's success
translates into tomorrow's good fortune." So you see, here, frugality and
that paranoia for survival. It is necessary and it is often overlooked.
The foundation of your survival strategy should not only be
“growth" or "brains" or "insight" but also the ability
to stick around for the longest period, without getting wiped out, which is
what makes the biggest difference.
Nassim Taleb put it this way: “Having an ‘edge’ and
surviving are two different things: the first requires the second. You need to
avoid ruin. At all cost.” This means for a person who is on the edge must need
survival but you don't need to put yourself at risk just to achieve some
things, you should avoid it at all cost.
Applying the survival mindset in the real world needs few
things which are, first, you need to think as you are financially unbreakable
and try to stick for the longest time to see the magic of compounding. Second,
planning is the important and most important plan of every plan is to have plan
B. Third, A barbell personality—optimistic about the future, but paranoid about
what will prevent you from getting to the future—is vital.
You can be wrong half of the time and still make a fortune.
Sometimes what happens is you own 99% of something which
would be loss-making and the other 1% are turned out to be the work of someone
like Picasso which covers all of your loss and still gives you tremendous
profits. A lot of things in business and investing work this way. Yes, you can
be wrong half of the time and still make a fortune but this can be hard to deal
with and also that's not the case every time.
A great investor doesn't put all his money in one basket.
That's stupidity. Instead, he/she should always invest it in portfolios. Then sit
and wait for the profits. Like venture capitalists invest in 100 start-ups
knowing that 90% of them would fail but other 10% could give them that enormous
profits which would cover all their losses incurred by that 90% invested
loss-making start-ups.
One who learns averaging things, when losses are occurring,
never goes crazy. Great investors always know how to average, when to average,
to generate great wealth. Tails drive everything. One who understands how tails
work would always realize that sometimes it’s okay for business, investing, and
finance to go south because you know that you are good enough that you would
earn your failed business, investing, and finance again.
Most of the time, people don't see the failure behind the
successful product, they only noticed the profitable product. Failed attempts, poor
management, bad picks all are the other side of tail-driven returns. We
overlooked it and that makes our failure and setbacks feel like we are doing
something wrong.
Something I’ve learned from both investors and entrepreneurs
is that no one makes good decisions all the time. The most impressive people
are packed full of horrendous ideas that are often acted upon. And they know
the acknowledgment of how tails drive success.
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